Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.213474 0.248462 0.286760 0.331712 0.382939 0.439410 0.506283
2026-01-18 0.156759 0.204770 0.262848 0.337861 0.431720 0.544778 0.690723
2026-01-25 0.122861 0.175261 0.243615 0.338395 0.465342 0.628285 0.851824
2026-02-01 0.098897 0.152010 0.225825 0.334382 0.488105 0.695794 0.994902
2026-02-08 0.081184 0.133398 0.210162 0.329034 0.505688 0.755088 1.129402
2026-02-15 0.066040 0.115546 0.192247 0.316822 0.510300 0.794550 1.237282
2026-02-22 0.060304 0.111284 0.193841 0.333376 0.558149 0.899352 1.447098
2026-03-01 0.050750 0.098977 0.180722 0.324623 0.565178 0.942550 1.566954
2026-03-08 0.042519 0.087522 0.167253 0.313214 0.565983 0.975067 1.671474
2026-03-15 0.036414 0.078898 0.157374 0.306402 0.573092 1.017295 1.793482
2026-03-22 0.032939 0.074734 0.154874 0.312095 0.601701 1.096371 1.980624
2026-03-29 0.030828 0.072959 0.156530 0.325374 0.644573 1.202191 2.219327
2026-04-05 0.028172 0.069707 0.155091 0.332975 0.678448 1.296139 2.446514
2026-04-12 0.025333 0.065604 0.151445 0.335911 0.703994 1.377539 2.658125
2026-04-19 0.022620 0.061298 0.146759 0.336101 0.724045 1.450134 2.858538
2026-04-26 0.019924 0.056539 0.140431 0.332076 0.735242 1.506898 3.033593
2026-05-03 0.017494 0.051980 0.133895 0.326758 0.743125 1.557636 3.200385
2026-05-10 0.014947 0.046624 0.124764 0.314621 0.735634 1.577973 3.310682
2026-05-17 0.014418 0.046602 0.128211 0.331072 0.789698 1.722230 3.667714
2026-05-24 0.012549 0.042478 0.121111 0.322374 0.788743 1.756665 3.812354
2026-05-31 0.010796 0.038320 0.113309 0.311036 0.780765 1.775976 3.927767
2026-06-07 0.009473 0.035183 0.107682 0.304267 0.782305 1.814781 4.084536
2026-06-14 0.008808 0.033986 0.107069 0.309924 0.812868 1.916566 4.376383